Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Country Squire Eviction Risk: Lower , Bartonsville
Tract 24021751904 · Frederick County, MD · pop 4,376 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 24021751904 in the Country Squire area of Bartonsville, MD reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,376. The severe-burden share is 56%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,549
Renter share5.0%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$163,262
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
10
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bartonsville and the region
Centroid at 39.3781, -77.3459 · click any tract to drill in
Why Country Squire scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bartonsville
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,707 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bartonsville
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bartonsville
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bartonsville
6.3
How Country Squire compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Country Squire. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 19.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Country Squire
Cost burden runs 81% here against 39.1% across Frederick County. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.5/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Against the Frederick County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.
Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $163,262, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Average gross rent is $1,707, close to the Bartonsville average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24021751904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021751904?
Census tract 24021751904 in the Country Squire neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24021751904?
Median gross rent is $1,707/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24021751904?
3.6% of residents in tract 24021751904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,376.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24021751904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 16th, minority 42th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 24021751904 considered part of Country Squire?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24021751904 fall within Country Squire (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24021751904 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24021751904 compare to Bartonsville overall?
Tract 24021751904 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bartonsville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bartonsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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