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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Sagner Eviction Risk: Elevated , Frederick

Tract 24021772200 · Frederick County, MD · pop 1,713 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 24021772200 covers part of the Sagner area of Frederick, MD, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Frederick County average of 39.1%.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 23% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units832
Renter share57.9%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate36.6%
Median income$65,104

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Sagner
Moderate
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 22 tracts In Frederick
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 65 tracts In Frederick County
Very High
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#528 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Frederick and the region

Centroid at 39.4124, -77.3838 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sagner scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Frederick
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
36.6% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$1,144 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Frederick
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Frederick
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Frederick
4.5

How Sagner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sagner risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 772200Frederick: 4.64.6Frederickparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.55.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sagner

Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Running hot, economic stress reads 9.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,144, 35% below the Frederick average.

The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

It sits 1.7 points above the Frederick County average of 4.3. SNAP participation runs 23.1% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $65,104.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24021772200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021772200?

Census tract 24021772200 in the Sagner neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24021772200?

Median gross rent is $1,144/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24021772200?

36.6% of residents in tract 24021772200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,713.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24021772200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 11th, minority 48th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 24021772200 considered part of Sagner?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24021772200 fall within Sagner (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24021772200 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24021772200 compare to Frederick overall?

Tract 24021772200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Frederick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Frederick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Frederick

Top eight tracts in Frederick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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