Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
The Villages Of Urbana Bear Branch Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 24021752202 ·
Frederick County, MD · pop 4,016 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 24021752202 covers part of the The Villages Of Urbana Bear Branch area of Urbana, MD, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,016. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 11%Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,234
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$176,184
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In The Villages Of Urbana Bear Branch
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Urbana
Very High
Within county
39th percentile
#40 of 65 tracts In Frederick County
Low
Within state
14th percentile
#1,253 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urbana and the region
Centroid at 39.3365, -77.3425 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Villages Of Urbana Bear Branch scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urbana
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,579 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urbana
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urbana
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urbana
2.5
How The Villages Of Urbana Bear Branch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
16%Socioeconomic
47%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.0%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
8.8%Food insecurity
5.6%SNAP enrollment
5.1%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
13.5%Frequent mental distress
17.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Villages Of Urbana Bear Branch
Cost burden runs 46% here against 39.1% across Frederick County. Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 2.5/10. SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Frederick County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $176,184, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24021752202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021752202?
Census tract 24021752202 in the The Villages Of Urbana Bear Branch neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24021752202?
Median gross rent is $2,579/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24021752202?
2.2% of residents in tract 24021752202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,016.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24021752202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 47th, minority 65th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 24021752202 considered part of The Villages Of Urbana Bear Branch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24021752202 fall within The Villages Of Urbana Bear Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24021752202 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24021752202 compare to Urbana overall?
Tract 24021752202 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Urbana at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urbana; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urbana
Top eight tracts in Urbana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.