Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
McGuigan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 24025301201 · Harford County, MD · pop 1,834 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 24025301201 in the McGuigan Park area of Harford County, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,834. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units746
Renter share9.0%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$99,107
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harford County and the region
Centroid at 39.4567, -76.3498 · click any tract to drill in
Why McGuigan Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,158 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How McGuigan Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McGuigan Park
Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 31% here against 41.1% across Harford County. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $99,107, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24025301201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025301201?
Census tract 24025301201 in the McGuigan Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24025301201?
Median gross rent is $1,158/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24025301201?
3.0% of residents in tract 24025301201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,834.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24025301201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 45th, minority 17th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 24025301201 considered part of McGuigan Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025301201 fall within McGuigan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24025301201 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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