Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Howard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bel Air
Tract 24025303801 ·
Harford County, MD · pop 2,889 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 24025303801 covers part of the Howard Park area of Bel Air, MD, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,889 residents. Cost burden runs 71% here against 41.1% across Harford County.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%Stable renters 9%Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,457
Renter share29.5%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$63,509
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Howard Park
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Bel Air
Very High
Within county
79th percentile
#13 of 59 tracts In Harford County
High
Within state
52th percentile
#700 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bel Air and the region
Centroid at 39.5340, -76.3602 · click any tract to drill in
Why Howard Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bel Air
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,260 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bel Air
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bel Air
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bel Air
2.2
How Howard Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
59%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
21%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.4%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
10.8%SNAP enrollment
7.0%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Howard Park
37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.0 points above the Harford County average of 4.4.
Average gross rent is $1,260, 16% below the Bel Air average. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $63,509. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24025303801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025303801?
Census tract 24025303801 in the Howard Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24025303801?
Median gross rent is $1,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24025303801?
20.7% of residents in tract 24025303801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,889.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24025303801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 16th, minority 21th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 24025303801 considered part of Howard Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025303801 fall within Howard Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24025303801 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24025303801 compare to Bel Air overall?
Tract 24025303801 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Bel Air at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Air; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bel Air
Top eight tracts in Bel Air ranked by composite eviction-risk score.