Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Greencastle Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Calverton
Tract 24033807407 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 7,152 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 24033807407 (Greencastle Manor in Calverton, Maryland) comes in at 7.3/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,717 a month against an average household income of $96,733 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,251
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$96,733
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Calverton and the region
Centroid at 39.0676, -76.9228 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greencastle Manor scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Calverton
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,717 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Calverton
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Calverton
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Calverton
6.4
How Greencastle Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,372Total filings over 4 yrs
- 100.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 180.8%Peak (2016)
- 1,412Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 128% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 14.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greencastle Manor
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Calverton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,372 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 100.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 180.8% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033807407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033807407?
Census tract 24033807407 in the Greencastle Manor neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033807407?
Median gross rent is $1,717/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033807407?
15.3% of residents in tract 24033807407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,152.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033807407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 77th, minority 90th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 24033807407 considered part of Greencastle Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033807407 fall within Greencastle Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033807407?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,372 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033807407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 100.88% of renter households, peaking at 180.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033807407 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033807407 compare to Calverton overall?
Tract 24033807407 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Calverton at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Calverton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Calverton
Top eight tracts in Calverton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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