Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Greencastle Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Calverton
Tract 24033807407 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 7,152 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 24033807407 covers part of the Greencastle Manor area of Calverton, MD, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,152. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,251
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$96,733
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Calverton and the region
Centroid at 39.0676, -76.9228 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greencastle Manor scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Calverton
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,717 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Calverton
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Calverton
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Calverton
6.4
How Greencastle Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,372Total filings over 4 yrs
- 100.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 180.8%Peak (2016)
- 1,412Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 128% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 14.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greencastle Manor
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 9/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
It sits 1.7 points above the Prince George's County average of 4.9. Average gross rent is $1,717, 21% below the Calverton average. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10.
Court records carry 3,372 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 180.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 100.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 8.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033807407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033807407?
Census tract 24033807407 in the Greencastle Manor neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033807407?
Median gross rent is $1,717/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033807407?
15.3% of residents in tract 24033807407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,152.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033807407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 77th, minority 90th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 24033807407 considered part of Greencastle Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033807407 fall within Greencastle Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033807407?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,372 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033807407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 100.88% of renter households, peaking at 180.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033807407 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033807407 compare to Calverton overall?
Tract 24033807407 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Calverton at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Calverton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Calverton
Top eight tracts in Calverton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related