Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
East Springbrook Eviction Risk: Moderate , Colesville
Tract 24031701503 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 6,530 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 24031701503 in the East Springbrook area of Colesville, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,530 residents. The severe-burden share is 52%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,257
Renter share18.4%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$145,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Colesville and the region
Centroid at 39.0602, -76.9903 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Springbrook scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Colesville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,532 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Colesville
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Colesville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Colesville
6.4
How East Springbrook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 9.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Springbrook
Cost burden runs 74% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10. At $2,532 a month, rents run 34% over what the rest of Colesville commands.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. It sits 0.9 points below the Montgomery County average of 6.0. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $145,625.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701503?
Census tract 24031701503 in the East Springbrook neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701503?
Median gross rent is $2,532/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701503?
4.6% of residents in tract 24031701503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,530.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 44th, minority 83th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701503 considered part of East Springbrook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701503 fall within East Springbrook (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701503 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701503 compare to Colesville overall?
Tract 24031701503 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Colesville at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Colesville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Colesville
Top eight tracts in Colesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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