Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Muncaster Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Olney
Tract 24031701307 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,167 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 4/10, tract 24031701307 in the Muncaster Manor area of Olney, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 4%Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,516
Renter share6.7%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$184,348
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Muncaster Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#5 of 9 tracts In Olney
Moderate
Within county
10th percentile
#208 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Very Low
Within state
24th percentile
#1,115 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Olney and the region
Centroid at 39.1611, -77.1120 · click any tract to drill in
Why Muncaster Manor scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Olney
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,260 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Olney
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Olney
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Olney
4.8
How Muncaster Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
10%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.9%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
4.2%Transit barriers
4.9%No health insurance
10.8%Frequent mental distress
17.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Muncaster Manor
25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Cost burden runs around a third here against 46.7% across Montgomery County.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. It sits 2.0 points below the Montgomery County average of 6.0.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10. SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $184,348, annual rent is just 15%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701307
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701307?
Census tract 24031701307 in the Muncaster Manor neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701307?
Median gross rent is $2,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701307?
4.5% of residents in tract 24031701307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,167.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701307?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 58th, minority 72th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701307 considered part of Muncaster Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701307 fall within Muncaster Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701307 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701307 compare to Olney overall?
Tract 24031701307 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Olney at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Olney eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Olney
Top eight tracts in Olney ranked by composite eviction-risk score.