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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Shepherd Park Eviction Risk: High , Silver Spring

Tract 24031702502 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 1,565 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 24031702502 sits in the Shepherd Park area of Silver Spring eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 42% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,073
Renter share82.1%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$86,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Shepherd Park
Moderate
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 19 tracts In Silver Spring
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Silver Spring and the region

Centroid at 38.9880, -77.0248 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shepherd Park scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Silver Spring
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,907 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Silver Spring
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Silver Spring
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Silver Spring
6.5

How Shepherd Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shepherd Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 7025027.0Silver Springparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shepherd Park

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.9/10.

That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,907, close to the Silver Spring average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $86,083.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031702502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031702502?

Census tract 24031702502 in the Shepherd Park neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031702502?

Median gross rent is $1,907/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031702502?

11.4% of residents in tract 24031702502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,565.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031702502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 25th, minority 79th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 24031702502 considered part of Shepherd Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031702502 fall within Shepherd Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031702502 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031702502 compare to Silver Spring overall?

Tract 24031702502 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Silver Spring at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Silver Spring eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Silver Spring

Top eight tracts in Silver Spring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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