Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Essington Eviction Risk: Lower , Bowie
Tract 24033800515 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 4,518 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 3.6/10, tract 24033800515 in the Essington area of Bowie, MD reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,518. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,981
Renter share27.3%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$114,432
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bowie and the region
Centroid at 38.9457, -76.7453 · click any tract to drill in
Why Essington scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bowie
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,235 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bowie
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bowie
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bowie
4.6
How Essington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 516Total filings over 4 yrs
- 25.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 51.0%Peak (2016)
- 320Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 6,300% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.8%Housing insecurity
- 10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.2%Food insecurity
- 13.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Essington
The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, local political climate reads 9.1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 9/10. Against the Prince George's County average of 4.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.
Court records carry 516 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 51.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 25.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters. Average gross rent is $2,235, close to the Bowie average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033800515
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033800515?
Census tract 24033800515 in the Essington neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033800515?
Median gross rent is $2,235/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033800515?
6.0% of residents in tract 24033800515 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,518.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033800515?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 31th, minority 83th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 24033800515 considered part of Essington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033800515 fall within Essington (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033800515?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 516 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033800515 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.01% of renter households, peaking at 51.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033800515 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033800515 compare to Bowie overall?
Tract 24033800515 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Bowie at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bowie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bowie
Top eight tracts in Bowie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Pin Oak Village
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Yorktown
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
24033800511
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
24033800518
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Yorktown
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Heather Hills
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Collington
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Pin Oak Village
3
/ 10 · Low
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