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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Davis Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Coral Hills

Tract 24033802501 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 2,340 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 24033802501 (the Fort Davis Park area of Coral Hills, Maryland) comes in at 7.8/10, the Elevated tier. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 64% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,760 a month against an average household income of $61,198 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 22% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,289
Renter share62.2%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$61,198

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Fort Davis Park
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Coral Hills
Very High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 214 tracts In Prince George's County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#255 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Coral Hills and the region

Centroid at 38.8623, -76.9449 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Davis Park scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Coral Hills
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,760 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coral Hills
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coral Hills
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coral Hills
7.6

How Fort Davis Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fort Davis Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 802501Coral Hills: 6.66.6Coral Hillsparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 6,151Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 218.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 226.8%Peak (2011)
  • 1,638Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 240338025012011: 1,653 filings (226.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 1,235 filings (169.41/100 renter HHs)2014: 1,625 filings (222.91/100 renter HHs)2016: 1,638 filings (255.14/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Davis Park

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Coral Hills, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24033802501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033802501?

Census tract 24033802501 in the Fort Davis Park neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24033802501?

Median gross rent is $1,760/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24033802501?

22.7% of residents in tract 24033802501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,340.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24033802501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 30th, minority 98th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 24033802501 considered part of Fort Davis Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033802501 fall within Fort Davis Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033802501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6,151 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033802501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 218.55% of renter households, peaking at 226.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 24033802501 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 24033802501 compare to Coral Hills overall?

Tract 24033802501 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Coral Hills at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coral Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Coral Hills

Top eight tracts in Coral Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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