Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Davis Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Coral Hills
Tract 24033802501 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 2,340 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 24033802501 in the Fort Davis Park area of Coral Hills, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,289
Renter share62.2%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$61,198
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Coral Hills and the region
Centroid at 38.8623, -76.9449 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Davis Park scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Coral Hills
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,760 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coral Hills
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coral Hills
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coral Hills
7.6
How Fort Davis Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6,151Total filings over 4 yrs
- 218.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 226.8%Peak (2011)
- 1,638Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.2%Housing insecurity
- 17.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.4%Food insecurity
- 25.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.0%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Davis Park
Against Prince George's County at 45.6%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 9.1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10.
Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $61,198, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Housing insecurity runs 26.2% against 14.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 25.6% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 6,151 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
It sits 0.9 points above the Prince George's County average of 4.9. The worst year on record was 2011, when 226.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 218.6% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033802501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033802501?
Census tract 24033802501 in the Fort Davis Park neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033802501?
Median gross rent is $1,760/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033802501?
22.7% of residents in tract 24033802501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,340.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033802501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 30th, minority 98th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 24033802501 considered part of Fort Davis Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033802501 fall within Fort Davis Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033802501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6,151 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033802501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 218.55% of renter households, peaking at 226.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033802501 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033802501 compare to Coral Hills overall?
Tract 24033802501 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Coral Hills at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coral Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Coral Hills
Top eight tracts in Coral Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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