Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Kettering Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 24033803527 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 3,601
Tract 24033803527 sits in Kettering, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. It is home to 3,601 residents. Cost burden runs roughly three in four here against 45.6% across Prince George's County.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,295
Renter share14.8%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$115,901
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
National
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 38.8973, -76.8190 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kettering scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,726 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
3.6
How Kettering compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 15Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2014)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 60% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.9%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.8%Food insecurity
- 14.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kettering
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 9.1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 9/10. Average gross rent is $2,726, 19% above the Kettering average.
The voucher gap is 17.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The filing record is not thin: 15 evictions over 4 years of observation.
Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 0.8 points below the Prince George's County average of 4.9.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 4.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033803527
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033803527?
Census tract 24033803527 in Kettering scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033803527?
Median gross rent is $2,726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033803527?
9.3% of residents in tract 24033803527 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,601.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033803527?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 74th, minority 97th, housing 25th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033803527?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033803527 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.55% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 24033803527 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24033803527 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 24033803527 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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