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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Greater Capitol Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 24033802803 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 5,853 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Greater Capitol Heights area of Capitol Heights is where census tract 24033802803 sits, home to 5,853 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.5/10. It lands near the 99th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,566 a month against an average household income of $98,353 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 13% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,371
Renter share37.7%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$98,353

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Greater Capitol Heights
Very High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Capitol Heights
Very Low
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#105 of 214 tracts In Prince George's County
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#618 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Capitol Heights and the region

Centroid at 38.8739, -76.9055 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greater Capitol Heights scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Capitol Heights
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Capitol Heights
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Capitol Heights
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Capitol Heights
6.3

How Greater Capitol Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greater Capitol Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 802803Capitol Heights: 6.56.5Capitol Heightsparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,044Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 59.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 78.8%Peak (2011)
  • 447Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 240338028032011: 674 filings (78.83/100 renter HHs)2012: 515 filings (60.23/100 renter HHs)2014: 408 filings (47.72/100 renter HHs)2016: 447 filings (51.50/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Greater Capitol Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greater Capitol Heights

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Capitol Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24033802803

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033802803?

Census tract 24033802803 in the Greater Capitol Heights neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24033802803?

Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24033802803?

15.0% of residents in tract 24033802803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,853.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24033802803?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 61th, minority 97th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 24033802803 considered part of Greater Capitol Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033802803 fall within Greater Capitol Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033802803?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,044 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033802803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 59.57% of renter households, peaking at 78.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 24033802803 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 24033802803 compare to Capitol Heights overall?

Tract 24033802803 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Capitol Heights at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Capitol Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Capitol Heights

Top eight tracts in Capitol Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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