New Bedford Eviction Risk: High

78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Bristol County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $37,261, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.7/10.

Food insecurity runs 31.4% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.2/10.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 138 filings here across 1 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 11.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.