Downtown Salem District Eviction Risk: Elevated

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $2,443 a month, rents run 33% over what the rest of Salem commands.

The voucher gap is 24.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters.

It tracks the Essex County average of 6.0 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.