Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Salem District Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 25009204500 · Essex County, MA · pop 3,514 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Downtown Salem District in Salem is where census tract 25009204500 sits, home to 3,514 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.9/10. That is riskier than about 93% of US census tracts.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,443 a month against an average household income of $111,402 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 29% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units1,707

Renter share58.4%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate8.6%

Median income$111,402

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 42.5298, -70.8913 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Salem District scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Salem

6.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

8.6% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$2,443 rent vs county FMR

7.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Salem

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Salem

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Salem

6.9

How Downtown Salem District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

23%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.3%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
8.5%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
3.8%No health insurance
14.8%Frequent mental distress
22.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Salem District

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009204500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009204500?

Census tract 25009204500 in the Downtown Salem District neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009204500?

Median gross rent is $2,443/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009204500?

8.6% of residents in tract 25009204500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,514.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009204500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 6th, minority 25th, housing 71th.

Is tract 25009204500 considered part of Downtown Salem District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009204500 fall within Downtown Salem District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009204500 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009204500 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 25009204500 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.