Neighborhood · Ranked #44,286 of 84,120 nationally

Wellesley Fells Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25021404301 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 5,836 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 25021404301 in Wellesley Fells in Wellesley ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,836 residents. That is riskier than roughly 23% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 18% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,501 a month against an average household income of $250,001 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 3% Owners 96%

Tract context

Occupied units1,959

Renter share4.0%

SVI overall0.01

Poverty rate1.7%

Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Wellesley and the region

Centroid at 42.3121, -71.3102 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wellesley Fells scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Wellesley

7.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

1.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

7.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Wellesley

3.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Wellesley

3.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Wellesley

3.1

How Wellesley Fells compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

1%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
1%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.4%Housing insecurity
3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
4.2%Food insecurity
4.2%SNAP enrollment
3.4%Transit barriers
1.9%No health insurance
11.5%Frequent mental distress
17.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wellesley Fells

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wellesley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Norfolk County average of 5.6 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25021404301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021404301?

Census tract 25021404301 in the Wellesley Fells neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25021404301?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25021404301?

1.7% of residents in tract 25021404301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,836.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25021404301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 19th, minority 35th, housing 1th.

Is tract 25021404301 considered part of Wellesley Fells?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021404301 fall within Wellesley Fells (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25021404301 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25021404301 compare to Wellesley overall?

Tract 25021404301 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Wellesley at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wellesley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wellesley

Top eight tracts in Wellesley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.