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Neighborhood · Duxbury, MA

Old Shipbuilders Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 10,550 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.4

Old Shipbuilders Historic District takes in 2 census tracts of Duxbury, MA and houses 10,550 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. 32% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10.

At $1,740 a month, rents sit 22% over what the rest of Duxbury commands. Cost burden runs 56% against 61.2% citywide, putting Old Shipbuilders Historic District 5.4% under its own city.

Filings are well documented here: 4 across 2 observed tracts. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 6.4% of adults, 11.4 points below the national rate.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 1.9% of renter households. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 3/10.

Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 11% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Against average income of $164,321, annual rent is only 13%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.1 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Old Shipbuilders Historic District vs Duxbury How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.8% -9%
Duxbury: 61.2%
Average gross rent
$1,740 +22%
Duxbury: $1,431
Average HH income
$164,321 +30%
Duxbury: $126,750
Poverty rate
6.2% -32%
Duxbury: 9.1%
Renter share
10.9% +223%
Duxbury: 3.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Shipbuilders Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.3–3.4

Why Old Shipbuilders Historic District scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 5.4–5.6 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–6.0 across tracts
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
11% renter households · Range 2.0–2.1 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.3–4.6 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
6.2% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.9 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–5.2 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Old Shipbuilders Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Old Shipbuilders Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Old Shipbuilders H: 3.33.3Old Shipbuilders HNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 6.46.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Old Shipbuilders Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25023507103 3.4 4,214 48% $2,205
25023507104 3.3 6,336 61% $1,431
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 22%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 7%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Old Shipbuilders Historic District

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings (sum)
  • 1.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 1.15%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Old Shipbuilders Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Old Shipbuilders Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Old Shipbuilders Historic District?

Old Shipbuilders Historic District scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Old Shipbuilders Historic District compare to Duxbury overall?

Old Shipbuilders Historic District scores 0.7 points lower than Duxbury overall (4/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 61% citywide. Average rent: $1,740 vs $1,431.
Q3

What is the average rent in Old Shipbuilders Historic District?

Average gross rent in Old Shipbuilders Historic District is $1,740/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Old Shipbuilders Historic District residents are renters?

11% of Old Shipbuilders Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 3% in Duxbury). The neighborhood has 10,550 residents.
Q5

Is Old Shipbuilders Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Old Shipbuilders Historic District sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Old Shipbuilders Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Old Shipbuilders Historic District is census tract 25023507103 (score 3.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 3.4, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Old Shipbuilders Historic District for landlords?

Old Shipbuilders Historic District carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Duxbury as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Old Shipbuilders Historic District?

Old Shipbuilders Historic District has 10,551 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (94.4%), Other / Multiracial (2.6%), Hispanic / Latino (1.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Old Shipbuilders Historic District

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