Knollwood Eviction Risk: Elevated , Kalamazoo

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 39.3% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 61%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

95% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Kalamazoo County average of 4.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.3/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $28,054, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

At $810 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Kalamazoo commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.1 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.