2 census tracts · pop 5,536 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 4.1–5.4
Downtown spans 2 census tracts of Midland, MI, population 5,536. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 47% against 30.3% citywide, putting Downtown 16.6% over its own city.
33% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.1 to 5.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10. Filings are well documented here: 149 across 2 observed tracts.
On the softer side is supply constraint, at 3/10. Average gross rent is $907, 13% below the Midland average of $1,048.
Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 19.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 9.5% in 2016, is well off that peak. Against average income of $56,647, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.
36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs MidlandHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority16%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Downtown
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
149Total filings (sum)
11.20%Avg annual filing rate
19.6%Peak year (2015)
9.30%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.1%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
15.6%SNAP enrollment
7.1%No health insurance
33.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Downtown
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?
Downtown scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Downtown compare to Midland overall?
Downtown scores 0.8 points higher than Midland overall (4/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $907 vs $1,048.
Q3
What is the average rent in Downtown?
Average gross rent in Downtown is $907/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?
36% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Midland). The neighborhood has 5,536 residents.
Q5
Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?
Downtown sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 26111290100 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 5.4, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Downtown for landlords?
Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Midland as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?
Downtown has 5,156 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (88.4%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
