Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Birch Run Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 26145013100 · Saginaw County, MI · pop 5,882 · 22% of tract blocks fall in Birch Run
Birch Run is where census tract 26145013100 sits, home to 5,882 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.1/10. That is riskier than about 42% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 22% of renter households, a moderate level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $931 monthly, set against $84,000 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,302
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$84,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Birch Run and the region
Centroid at 43.2640, -83.7600 · click any tract to drill in
Why Birch Run scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Birch Run
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$931 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birch Run
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birch Run
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birch Run
4.1
How Birch Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.9%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Birch Run
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Birch Run, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Saginaw County average of 6.1 and below the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 26145013100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26145013100?
Census tract 26145013100 in Birch Run scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26145013100?
Median gross rent is $931/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26145013100?
9.8% of residents in tract 26145013100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,882.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26145013100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 29th, minority 10th, housing 45th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 26145013100 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 26145013100 compare to Birch Run overall?
Tract 26145013100 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Birch Run at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birch Run; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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