Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Grove Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27003050115 · Anoka County, MN · pop 5,783
Census tract 27003050115 covers part of Oak Grove, MN, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,783. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units2,056
Renter share5.1%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate0.7%
Median income$117,614
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region
Centroid at 45.3423, -93.3069 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Grove scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Grove
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
0.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,201 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Grove
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Grove
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Grove
3.8
How Oak Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 57Total filings over 4 yrs
- 23.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 38.2%Peak (2009)
- 8Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 64% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Grove
The voucher gap is 30.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.1/10. Against the Anoka County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.3/10. Against Anoka County at 43.4%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened.
SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Court records carry 57 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2009, when 38.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 23.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003050115
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050115?
Census tract 27003050115 in Oak Grove scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003050115?
Median gross rent is $2,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050115?
0.7% of residents in tract 27003050115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,783.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050115?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 18th, minority 18th, housing 10th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003050115?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 57 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003050115 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.03% of renter households, peaking at 38.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27003050115 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27003050115 compare to Oak Grove overall?
Tract 27003050115 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Grove at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Grove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove
Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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