Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Blackstone Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis Park
Tract 27053022000 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,248 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 27053022000 in the Blackstone area of St. Louis Park, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,248. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,453
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$86,797
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis Park and the region
Centroid at 44.9646, -93.3467 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blackstone scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis Park
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,996 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis Park
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.1
How Blackstone compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 28Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2010)
- 4Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 40Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.0%Food insecurity
- 4.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 18.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blackstone
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7.4/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $1,996 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of St. Louis Park commands.
Food insecurity runs 7.0% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 18.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.2/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 28 filings here across 5 tracked years. Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053022000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053022000?
Census tract 27053022000 in the Blackstone neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053022000?
Median gross rent is $1,996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053022000?
11.2% of residents in tract 27053022000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,248.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053022000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 1th, minority 35th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 27053022000 considered part of Blackstone?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053022000 fall within Blackstone (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053022000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053022000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.66% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053022000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053022000 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053022000 compare to St. Louis Park overall?
Tract 27053022000 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis Park at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis Park
Top eight tracts in St. Louis Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Aquila
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Triangle
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Pennsylvania Park
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Birchwood
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Wolfe Park
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Minnehaha
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Bronx Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Eliot
3.7
/ 10 · Low
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