Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Folwell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Minneapolis
Tract 27053100800 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,235 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 27053100800 covers the Folwell neighborhood of Minneapolis, home to 4,235 residents. For landlords it grades 6.3/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,612 a month against an average household income of $88,966 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,482
Renter share27.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$88,966
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 45.0186, -93.3026 · click any tract to drill in
Why Folwell scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,612 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Folwell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 49%Grade B
- 40%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 389Total filings over 5 yrs
- 17.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.9%Peak (2009)
- 76Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 189Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.8%Housing insecurity
- 10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.8%Food insecurity
- 15.3%SNAP enrollment
- 12.1%Transit barriers
- 12.3%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Folwell
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 389 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 17.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 28.9% of renter households in 2009.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.54x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053100800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053100800?
Census tract 27053100800 in the Folwell neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053100800?
Median gross rent is $1,612/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053100800?
10.1% of residents in tract 27053100800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,235.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053100800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 74th, minority 78th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 27053100800 considered part of Folwell?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053100800 fall within Folwell (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053100800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 389 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053100800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.02% of renter households, peaking at 28.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053100800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053100800 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053100800 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053100800 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053100800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
University
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Como
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Prospect Park
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Hawthorne
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Elliot Park
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Phillips West
7.7
/ 10 · High
Related