Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Cobblecrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Minnetonka
Tract 27053026406 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,644 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
27053026406 is a census tract in the Cobblecrest area of Minnetonka, MN. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.8/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,045
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$79,838
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minnetonka and the region
Centroid at 44.9479, -93.4051 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cobblecrest scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minnetonka
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,684 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minnetonka
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minnetonka
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minnetonka
4.0
How Cobblecrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 146Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.36×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.5%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 23.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cobblecrest
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Cost burden runs 37% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County.
SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.2/10. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,684, close to the Minnetonka average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $79,838.
55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053026406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053026406?
Census tract 27053026406 in the Cobblecrest neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053026406?
Median gross rent is $1,684/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053026406?
7.3% of residents in tract 27053026406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,644.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053026406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 5th, minority 40th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 27053026406 considered part of Cobblecrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053026406 fall within Cobblecrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053026406 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053026406 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053026406 compare to Minnetonka overall?
Tract 27053026406 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Minnetonka at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minnetonka eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minnetonka
Top eight tracts in Minnetonka ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Parkwood Knolls
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Shelard Park
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053026207
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Kilmer
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026206
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026201
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026202
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026205
3
/ 10 · Low
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