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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Carver Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Woodbury

Tract 27163071012 · Washington County, MN · pop 4,793 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 27163071012 sits in the Carver Ridge area of Woodbury eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It is home to 4,793 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.1/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 24% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,297
Renter share37.3%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$92,589

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Carver Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 15 tracts In Woodbury
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 59 tracts In Washington County
High
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#478 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Woodbury and the region

Centroid at 44.8989, -92.9767 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carver Ridge scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Woodbury
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,912 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodbury
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodbury
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodbury
4.0

How Carver Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carver Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0710124.0Woodburyparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 117Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 4.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2012)
  • 48Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27163071012
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carver Ridge

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Washington County at 44.0%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 117 evictions over 3 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 0.8 points above the Washington County average of 4.1. The voucher gap is 13.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,912, close to the Woodbury average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $92,589.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27163071012

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071012?

Census tract 27163071012 in the Carver Ridge neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27163071012?

Median gross rent is $1,912/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071012?

8.5% of residents in tract 27163071012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,793.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071012?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 16th, minority 40th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 27163071012 considered part of Carver Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27163071012 fall within Carver Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071012?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 117 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071012 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.29% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27163071012 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27163071012 compare to Woodbury overall?

Tract 27163071012 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Woodbury at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodbury eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Woodbury

Top eight tracts in Woodbury ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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