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Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Shelby Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 28011950100 · Bolivar County, MS · pop 2,839 · 21% of tract blocks fall in Shelby

Census tract 28011950100 covers part of Shelby, MS, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,839. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 22% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,149
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate54.1%
Median income$27,898

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Shelby
Moderate
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In Bolivar County
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#60 of 875 tracts In Mississippi
Very High
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,808 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shelby and the region

Centroid at 34.0135, -90.8217 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shelby scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shelby
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Mississippi legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
54.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$644 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shelby
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shelby
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shelby
8.0

How Shelby compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shelby risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 950100Shelby: 4.64.6Shelbyparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shelby

SNAP participation runs 42.8% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 54%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Disability prevalence runs 52.1% against 31.5% nationally. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Bolivar County average of 44.4%.

Against the Bolivar County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the MS average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $644, close to the Shelby average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 28011950100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 28011950100?

Census tract 28011950100 in Shelby scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 28011950100?

Median gross rent is $644/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 28011950100?

54.1% of residents in tract 28011950100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,839.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 28011950100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 53th, minority 91th, housing 97th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 28011950100 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 28011950100 compare to Shelby overall?

Tract 28011950100 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Shelby at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shelby; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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