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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Carterville Eviction Risk: Lower , Petal

Tract 28035010400 · Forrest County, MS · pop 4,651 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 28035010400 sits in the Carterville area of Petal eviction risk, MS, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. Cost burden runs 48% here against 35.0% across Forrest County.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 22% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,507
Renter share41.2%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$51,128

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Carterville
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Petal
Very High
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 21 tracts In Forrest County
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#513 of 875 tracts In Mississippi
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Petal and the region

Centroid at 31.3255, -89.2461 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carterville scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Petal
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Mississippi legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$933 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petal
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petal
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petal
5.1

How Carterville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carterville risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 0104003.7Petalparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carterville

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.8/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. At $933 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Petal commands.

Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Petal eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Forrest County average of 4.1 closely.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $51,128. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 28035010400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 28035010400?

Census tract 28035010400 in the Carterville neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 28035010400?

Median gross rent is $933/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 28035010400?

16.2% of residents in tract 28035010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,651.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 28035010400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 86th, minority 48th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 28035010400 considered part of Carterville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 28035010400 fall within Carterville (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 28035010400 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 28035010400 compare to Petal overall?

Tract 28035010400 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Petal at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petal eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Petal

Top eight tracts in Petal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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