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Neighborhood · Billings, MT

East Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,432 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.6–4.6

East Downtown is a one-tract neighborhood of Billings, MT and houses 3,432 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 42% against 29.6% citywide, putting East Downtown 12.6% over its own city.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $816, 28% below the Billings average of $1,138.

18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. That places it #1 of 15 neighborhoods in Billings.

For a like-for-like read, Phillips and Terry score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $41,433.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
East Downtown vs Billings How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.2% +43%
Billings: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$816 -28%
Billings: $1,138
Average HH income
$41,433 -42%
Billings: $71,855
Poverty rate
22.7% +114%
Billings: 10.6%
Renter share
81.2% +131%
Billings: 35.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.6–4.6

Why East Downtown scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
81% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
22.7% below poverty line · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

East Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.6East DowntownNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in East Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
30111000200 4.6 3,432 42% $816
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 27%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in East Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About East Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Downtown?

East Downtown scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Downtown compare to Billings overall?

East Downtown scores 1.4 points higher than Billings overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $816 vs $1,138.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Downtown?

Average gross rent in East Downtown is $816/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Downtown residents are renters?

81% of East Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Billings). The neighborhood has 3,432 residents.
Q5

Is East Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

East Downtown sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is East Downtown for landlords?

East Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Billings as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of East Downtown?

East Downtown has 3,518 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.3%), Other / Multiracial (16.1%), Hispanic / Latino (10.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Billings

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Downtown.

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