Timber Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

At $1,316 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of Lincoln commands. The voucher gap is 17.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.8/10.

Court records for this tract carry 111 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2010, when filings touched 6.7% of renter households. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

The most recent observed rate, 2.1% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #43 of 72 neighborhoods in Lincoln. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Rolling Hills Ridge and Colonial Hills score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $100,400, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.