Michael Way Eviction Risk: Moderate , Las Vegas

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Clark County average of 50.7%.

Housing insecurity runs 24.5% against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 3/10. It sits 0.7 points above the Clark County average of 4.7.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,395 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Las Vegas commands.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NV average is 4.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.