Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Chelsea Eviction Risk: Elevated , Atlantic City
Tract 34001000200 · Atlantic County, NJ · pop 3,386 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 34001000200 covers part of the Lower Chelsea area of Atlantic City, NJ, and scores 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,386 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,346
Renter share50.6%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$54,858
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Atlantic City and the region
Centroid at 39.3457, -74.4582 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Chelsea scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Atlantic City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,347 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlantic City
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlantic City
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlantic City
5.7
How Lower Chelsea compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 78%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 275Total filings over 6 yrs
- 7.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2018)
- 64Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.5%Food insecurity
- 12.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 15.8%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Chelsea
Against Atlantic County at 48.9%, 69% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.3/10. Against the Atlantic County average of 5.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.
Average gross rent is $1,347, 19% above the Atlantic City average. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 275 filings here across 6 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2018 at 10.5% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Atlantic City. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.3/10. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34001000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34001000200?
Census tract 34001000200 in the Lower Chelsea neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34001000200?
Median gross rent is $1,347/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34001000200?
19.4% of residents in tract 34001000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,386.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34001000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 80th, minority 79th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 34001000200 considered part of Lower Chelsea?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34001000200 fall within Lower Chelsea (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34001000200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 275 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34001000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.18% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34001000200 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34001000200 compare to Atlantic City overall?
Tract 34001000200 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Atlantic City at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlantic City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34001000200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Atlantic City
Top eight tracts in Atlantic City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Northeast Inlet
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Chelsea Heights
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Chelsea
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Chelsea
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Chelsea
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Stanley S. Holmes Village
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Stanley S. Holmes Village
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Bungalow Park
7.8
/ 10 · High
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