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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Chelsea Eviction Risk: Elevated , Atlantic City

Tract 34001000200 · Atlantic County, NJ · pop 3,386 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Lower Chelsea in Atlantic City is where census tract 34001000200 sits, home to 3,386 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.9/10. It lands near the 93rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,347 a month while the average household earns $54,858 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 16% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,346
Renter share50.6%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$54,858

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lower Chelsea
Moderate
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In Atlantic City
Very Low
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#15 of 73 tracts In Atlantic County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Atlantic City and the region

Centroid at 39.3457, -74.4582 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Chelsea scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Atlantic City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,347 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlantic City
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlantic City
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlantic City
5.7

How Lower Chelsea compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lower Chelsea risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.87.8This tracttract 000200Atlantic City: 7.37.3Atlantic Cityparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 275Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 7.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak (2018)
  • 64Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340010002002013: 40 filings (5.90/100 renter HHs)2014: 39 filings (5.75/100 renter HHs)2015: 48 filings (7.08/100 renter HHs)2016: 52 filings (8.55/100 renter HHs)2017: 32 filings (5.26/100 renter HHs)2018: 64 filings (10.53/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Chelsea

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Atlantic City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Atlantic County average of 6.7 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 275 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 7.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.5% of renter households in 2018.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34001000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34001000200?

Census tract 34001000200 in the Lower Chelsea neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34001000200?

Median gross rent is $1,347/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34001000200?

19.4% of residents in tract 34001000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,386.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34001000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 80th, minority 79th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 34001000200 considered part of Lower Chelsea?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34001000200 fall within Lower Chelsea (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34001000200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 275 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34001000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.18% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34001000200 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34001000200 compare to Atlantic City overall?

Tract 34001000200 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Atlantic City at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlantic City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34001000200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Atlantic City

Top eight tracts in Atlantic City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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