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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Manhattan Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated , Edgewater

Tract 34003013003 · Bergen County, NJ · pop 3,892 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 34003013003 covers part of the Manhattan Valley area of Edgewater, NJ, and scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,892 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 41% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,976
Renter share61.3%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$164,063

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Manhattan Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Edgewater
Very Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#89 of 203 tracts In Bergen County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#874 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Edgewater and the region

Centroid at 40.8081, -73.9837 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manhattan Valley scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Edgewater
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,686 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Edgewater
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Edgewater
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Edgewater
4.3

How Manhattan Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manhattan Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.3This tracttract 0130037.2Edgewaterparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manhattan Valley

Against Bergen County at 46.6%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. The voucher gap is 29.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34003013003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34003013003?

Census tract 34003013003 in the Manhattan Valley neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34003013003?

Median gross rent is $2,686/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34003013003?

2.5% of residents in tract 34003013003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,892.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34003013003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 6th, minority 79th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 34003013003 considered part of Manhattan Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34003013003 fall within Manhattan Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 34003013003 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34003013003 compare to Edgewater overall?

Tract 34003013003 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Edgewater at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Edgewater; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34003013003 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Edgewater

Top eight tracts in Edgewater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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