Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Manhattan Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Edgewater
Tract 34003013003 · Bergen County, NJ · pop 3,892 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 6.2/10, tract 34003013003 in the Manhattan Valley area of Edgewater ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,892 residents. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,686 a month against an average household income of $164,063 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,976
Renter share61.3%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$164,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Edgewater and the region
Centroid at 40.8081, -73.9837 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manhattan Valley scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Edgewater
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,686 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Edgewater
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Edgewater
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Edgewater
4.3
How Manhattan Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.0%Food insecurity
- 3.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 5.6%No health insurance
- 11.6%Frequent mental distress
- 14.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manhattan Valley
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Edgewater, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bergen County average of 6.3 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34003013003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34003013003?
Census tract 34003013003 in the Manhattan Valley neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34003013003?
Median gross rent is $2,686/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34003013003?
2.5% of residents in tract 34003013003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,892.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34003013003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 6th, minority 79th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 34003013003 considered part of Manhattan Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34003013003 fall within Manhattan Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34003013003 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34003013003 compare to Edgewater overall?
Tract 34003013003 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Edgewater at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Edgewater; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34003013003 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Edgewater
Top eight tracts in Edgewater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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