Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Laguna Oaks Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cape May Court House
Tract 34009021100 · Cape May County, NJ · pop 5,557 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 34009021100 covers part of the Laguna Oaks area of Cape May Court House, NJ, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,557 residents. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,535
Renter share33.3%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$74,503
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cape May Court House and the region
Centroid at 39.0792, -74.8225 · click any tract to drill in
Why Laguna Oaks scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cape May Court House
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,389 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cape May Court House
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cape May Court House
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cape May Court House
8.3
How Laguna Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 147Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.0%Peak (2018)
- 52Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 86% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Laguna Oaks
Against the Cape May County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.7 points. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 43.6% across Cape May County.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10. Court records carry 147 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2018 at 9.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34009021100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34009021100?
Census tract 34009021100 in the Laguna Oaks neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34009021100?
Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34009021100?
15.9% of residents in tract 34009021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,557.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34009021100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 97th, minority 35th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 34009021100 considered part of Laguna Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34009021100 fall within Laguna Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34009021100?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34009021100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.28% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34009021100 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34009021100 compare to Cape May Court House overall?
Tract 34009021100 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Cape May Court House at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cape May Court House; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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