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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Ocean City Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 34009020203 · Cape May County, NJ · pop 2,041 · 99% of tract blocks fall in Ocean City

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 34009020203 in Ocean City, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,041. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 13% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,005
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$94,107

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Ocean City
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 32 tracts In Cape May County
Elevated
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#1,191 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ocean City and the region

Centroid at 39.2756, -74.6003 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ocean City scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ocean City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,508 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ocean City
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ocean City
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ocean City
5.7

How Ocean City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ocean City risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0202035.9Ocean Cityparent city5.0Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 0.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.5%Peak (2013)
  • 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34009020203
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ocean City

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10.

Cost burden runs 50% here against 43.6% across Cape May County. Housing insecurity runs 4.7% against 14.2% nationally. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 7 filings here across 4 tracked years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $1,508, 10% below the Ocean City average.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 0.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34009020203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34009020203?

Census tract 34009020203 in Ocean City scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34009020203?

Median gross rent is $1,508/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34009020203?

4.3% of residents in tract 34009020203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,041.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34009020203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 22th, minority 6th, housing 86th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34009020203?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34009020203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.47% of renter households, peaking at 0.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34009020203 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34009020203 compare to Ocean City overall?

Tract 34009020203 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Ocean City at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ocean City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ocean City

Top eight tracts in Ocean City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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