Census Tract · Ranked #3,427 of 84,120 nationally

Guttenberg Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34017015003 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 2,688

Tract 34017015003 covers Guttenberg in New Jersey. Home to 2,688 residents, it scores 7.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 98% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 74% of renter households, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,753 a month against an average household income of $60,417 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 82% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 61% Stable renters 21% Owners 18%

Tract context

Occupied units858

Renter share81.9%

SVI overall0.83

Poverty rate14.5%

Median income$60,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Guttenberg and the region

Centroid at 40.7941, -74.0075 · click any tract to drill in

Why Guttenberg scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Guttenberg

7.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

14.5% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$1,753 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Guttenberg

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Guttenberg

9.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Guttenberg

7.4

How Guttenberg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
72%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
4%Grade B
96%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.2%Housing insecurity
14.0%Utility-shutoff threat
32.7%Food insecurity
20.4%SNAP enrollment
14.7%Transit barriers
29.3%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
33.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Guttenberg

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Guttenberg, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017015003

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017015003?

Census tract 34017015003 in Guttenberg scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 34017015003?

Median gross rent is $1,753/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017015003?

14.5% of residents in tract 34017015003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,688.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017015003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 72th, minority 91th, housing 68th.

What share of households in tract 34017015003 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34017015003 compare to Guttenberg overall?

Tract 34017015003 scores 7.4/10, lower than the parent city of Guttenberg at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guttenberg; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 34017015003 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Guttenberg

Top eight tracts in Guttenberg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.