Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Guttenberg Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34017015004 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,961
34017015004 is a census tract in Guttenberg, NJ. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,961 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,723
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$88,450
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
National
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Guttenberg and the region
Centroid at 40.7921, -74.0034 · click any tract to drill in
Why Guttenberg scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Guttenberg
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,346 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Guttenberg
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Guttenberg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Guttenberg
7.4
How Guttenberg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 98%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.6%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 20.0%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Guttenberg
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. At $1,346 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Guttenberg commands.
Adults with no health insurance runs 20.0% against 11.3% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.3/10. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters. It tracks the Hudson County average of 7.7 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017015004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017015004?
Census tract 34017015004 in Guttenberg scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017015004?
Median gross rent is $1,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017015004?
15.9% of residents in tract 34017015004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,961.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017015004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 86th, minority 85th, housing 75th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 34017015004 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 34017015004 compare to Guttenberg overall?
Tract 34017015004 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Guttenberg at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guttenberg; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 34017015004 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Guttenberg
Top eight tracts in Guttenberg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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