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Neighborhood · Ranked #12,980 of 84,120 nationally

Dublin Eviction Risk: Elevated , Morristown

Tract 34027043303 · Morris County, NJ · pop 3,836 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

In the Dublin neighborhood of Morristown, census tract 34027043303 scores 5.2/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 45% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 15% of renter households, a modest level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,838 a month while the average household earns $222,125 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 8% of occupied homes.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 6% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,405
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$222,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Dublin
Very High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileBottomTop
#26 of 110 tracts In Morris County
High
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileBottomTop
#1,574 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
National
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileBottomTop
#12,980 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Morristown and the region

Centroid at 40.7746, -74.4862 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dublin scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Morristown
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,838 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Morristown
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Morristown
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Morristown
5.0

How Dublin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dublin risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.27.2This tracttract 043303Morristown: 7.17.1Morristownparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.87.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 5Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 2.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak (2018)
  • 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dublin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dublin

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Morristown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Morris County average of 5.8 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 5 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 2.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.9% of renter households in 2018.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027043303

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027043303?

Census tract 34027043303 in the Dublin neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34027043303?

Median gross rent is $2,838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027043303?

1.4% of residents in tract 34027043303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,836.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027043303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 9th, minority 36th, housing 4th.

Q5

Is tract 34027043303 considered part of Dublin?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34027043303 fall within Dublin (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027043303?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027043303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.38% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 34027043303 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 34027043303 compare to Morristown overall?

Tract 34027043303 scores 7.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Morristown at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Morristown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

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