Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Mandalay Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 34029714300 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 3,378 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.1/10, tract 34029714300 in the Mandalay area of Ocean County, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.7/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 5% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,404
Renter share8.8%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$111,163

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mandalay
Moderate
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#95 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,786 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
National
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ocean County and the region

Centroid at 40.0194, -74.0884 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mandalay scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,882 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Mandalay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mandalay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 714300County: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 43Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 6.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak (2014)
  • 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297143002013: 6 filings (4.65/100 renter HHs)2014: 10 filings (7.75/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (5.43/100 renter HHs)2016: 7 filings (7.53/100 renter HHs)2017: 10 filings (10.75/100 renter HHs)2018: 3 filings (3.23/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mandalay

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0.

Court records carry 43 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2014 at 7.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.6% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029714300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029714300?

Census tract 34029714300 in the Mandalay neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029714300?

Median gross rent is $1,882/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029714300?

7.4% of residents in tract 34029714300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,378.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029714300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 25th, minority 26th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 34029714300 considered part of Mandalay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029714300 fall within Mandalay (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029714300?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 43 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029714300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.56% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34029714300 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Related