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Neighborhood · Preakness, NJ

Pines Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,227 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Pines Lake maps to a single census tract in Preakness, NJ and houses 6,227 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 10% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well under the Preakness rate of 30.7%.

Average gross rent is $3,501, 83% above the Preakness average of $1,918. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

The voucher gap is 69.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. SNAP participation is 3.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 40 evictions logged in this tract. Food insecurity affects 7.6% of adults, 10.2 points below the national rate.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 11.3% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 8.6% in 2018 against a 11.3% peak. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $190,128.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Pines Lake vs Preakness How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
10.4% -66%
Preakness: 30.7%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +83%
Preakness: $1,918
Average HH income
$190,128 +43%
Preakness: $133,168
Poverty rate
1.9% -49%
Preakness: 3.7%
Renter share
12.5% -57%
Preakness: 29.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pines Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Pines Lake scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Rent control risk
10% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
1.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Pines Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pines Lake score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Pines LakeNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Pines Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34031246003 4.5 6,227 10% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 8

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 11%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Pines Lake

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 40Total filings (sum)
  • 8.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.3%Peak year (2013)
  • 8.60%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pines Lake

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Pines Lake

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pines Lake?

Pines Lake scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pines Lake compare to Preakness overall?

Pines Lake scores 1.4 points lower than Preakness overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 10% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $1,918.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pines Lake?

Average gross rent in Pines Lake is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pines Lake residents are renters?

13% of Pines Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Preakness). The neighborhood has 6,227 residents.
Q5

Is Pines Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Pines Lake sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Pines Lake for landlords?

Pines Lake carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Preakness as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Pines Lake?

Pines Lake has 6,394 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.8%), Hispanic / Latino (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pines Lake

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Preakness

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pines Lake.

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