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Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Springfield Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 34039037602 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,614 · 6% of tract blocks fall in Springfield

Census tract 34039037602 covers Springfield, home to 6,614 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #30,127 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 21% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,167 monthly, set against $157,556 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 27% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,458
Renter share34.2%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$157,556

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Springfield
Very High
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very Low
Within state
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#1,884 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
National
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#75,086 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 40.6881, -74.3229 · click any tract to drill in

Why Springfield scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,167 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.7

How Springfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Springfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.91.9This tracttract 037602Springfield: 7.47.4Springfieldparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 256Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 6.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2018)
  • 72Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340390376022013: 53 filings (6.67/100 renter HHs)2016: 65 filings (6.76/100 renter HHs)2017: 66 filings (6.86/100 renter HHs)2018: 72 filings (7.48/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 36% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Springfield

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Union County average of 6.6 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 256 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 6.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.5% of renter households in 2018.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039037602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039037602?

Census tract 34039037602 in Springfield scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039037602?

Median gross rent is $2,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039037602?

8.6% of residents in tract 34039037602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,614.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039037602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 44th, minority 48th, housing 31th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039037602?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 256 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039037602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.94% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039037602 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34039037602 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 34039037602 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34039037602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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