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Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Johnson City Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36007014200 · Broome County, NY · pop 3,071

Johnson City in Broome County is where census tract 36007014200 sits, home to 3,071 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #24,190 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,250 a month while the average household earns $71,236 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 28% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,646
Renter share53.5%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$71,236

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Johnson City
Very Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#33 of 57 tracts In Broome County
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#3,159 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Moderate
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,522 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Johnson City and the region

Centroid at 42.1301, -75.9681 · click any tract to drill in

Why Johnson City scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Johnson City
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,250 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnson City
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnson City
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnson City
5.6

How Johnson City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Johnson City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 014200Johnson City: 7.97.9Johnson Cityparent cityCounty: 6.36.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Johnson City

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnson City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Broome County average of 6.1 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36007014200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36007014200?

Census tract 36007014200 in Johnson City scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36007014200?

Median gross rent is $1,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36007014200?

8.0% of residents in tract 36007014200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,071.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36007014200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 35th, minority 33th, housing 44th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36007014200 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36007014200 compare to Johnson City overall?

Tract 36007014200 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Johnson City at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnson City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 36007014200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Johnson City

Top eight tracts in Johnson City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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