Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Jamestown

Tract 36013030800 · Chautauqua County, NY · pop 4,040 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

The Forest Heights area of Jamestown anchors census tract 36013030800, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 68% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $828 a month against an average household income of $52,825 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 32% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units1,816

Renter share48.9%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate13.3%

Median income$52,825

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Jamestown and the region

Centroid at 42.0822, -79.2518 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Heights scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Jamestown

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

13.3% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$828 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Jamestown

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Jamestown

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Jamestown

7.6

How Forest Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
28%Racial/ethnic minority
73%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.3%Housing insecurity
11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
21.1%Food insecurity
22.2%SNAP enrollment
11.2%Transit barriers
8.3%No health insurance
18.6%Frequent mental distress
33.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Heights

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jamestown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chautauqua County average of 6.0 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36013030800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36013030800?

Census tract 36013030800 in the Forest Heights neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36013030800?

Median gross rent is $828/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36013030800?

13.3% of residents in tract 36013030800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,040.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36013030800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 68th, minority 28th, housing 73th.

Is tract 36013030800 considered part of Forest Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36013030800 fall within Forest Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36013030800 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36013030800 compare to Jamestown overall?

Tract 36013030800 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Jamestown at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jamestown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jamestown

Top eight tracts in Jamestown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.