Tract 36029009106 Eviction Risk: Moderate

The voucher gap is 40.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9/10. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

Average gross rent runs $1,651 a month. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $88,523.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.