Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
South Lake Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , University at Buffalo
Tract 36029009114 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,984 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
36029009114 is a census tract in the South Lake Village area of Erie County, NY. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,984 residents. 15% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Erie County average of 44.6%.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,666
Renter share13.7%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$100,938
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
7
th percentile
Very Low
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across University at Buffalo and the region
Centroid at 42.9969, -78.7513 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Lake Village scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University at Buffalo
7.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,250 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from University at Buffalo
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University at Buffalo
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from University at Buffalo
5.0
How South Lake Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Lake Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 20.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Lake Village
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.1 points.
15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $100,938, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 3.0 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029009114
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029009114?
Census tract 36029009114 in the South Lake Village neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029009114?
Median gross rent is $1,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029009114?
3.3% of residents in tract 36029009114 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,984.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029009114?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 60th, minority 33th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 36029009114 considered part of South Lake Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029009114 fall within South Lake Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36029009114 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36029009114 compare to University at Buffalo overall?
Tract 36029009114 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of University at Buffalo at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University at Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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