Highland Park Eviction Risk: High , Rochester

At $501 a month, rents run 54% under what the rest of Rochester commands. The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Monroe County average of 7.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 25.6% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.