Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Valley View Eviction Risk: Lower , Chester
Tract 36071014301 · Orange County, NY · pop 4,534 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 36071014301 covers the Valley View neighborhood of Chester in New York. Home to 4,534 residents, it scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 28% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
20% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,649 a month while the average household earns $113,202 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,844
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$113,202
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chester and the region
Centroid at 41.3630, -74.2708 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley View scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chester
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,649 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chester
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chester
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chester
3.2
How Valley View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 9.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 24.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley View
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chester, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Orange County average of 6.0 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071014301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071014301?
Census tract 36071014301 in the Valley View neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36071014301?
Median gross rent is $1,649/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071014301?
6.6% of residents in tract 36071014301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,534.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071014301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 8th, minority 54th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 36071014301 considered part of Valley View?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36071014301 fall within Valley View (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36071014301 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36071014301 compare to Chester overall?
Tract 36071014301 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Chester at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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