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Neighborhood · Chester, NY

Valley View Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,534 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

Valley View is a one-tract neighborhood of Chester, NY and houses 4,534 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.6/10, Moderate tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.6/10. 15% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,649 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Chester commands.

20% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, below the Chester rate of 25.2%. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.6/10. Against average income of $113,202, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Valley View vs Chester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
20.0% -21%
Chester: 25.2%
Average gross rent
$1,649 -18%
Chester: $2,010
Average HH income
$113,202 +16%
Chester: $97,250
Poverty rate
6.6% +2%
Chester: 6.5%
Renter share
39.7% -20%
Chester: 49.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valley View and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why Valley View scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
20% of income on rent · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Economic stress
6.6% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Valley View vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valley View score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.6Valley ViewNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Valley View

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36071014301 5.6 4,534 20% $1,649
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 31%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 8%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valley View

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Valley View

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valley View?

Valley View scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valley View compare to Chester overall?

Valley View scores 1.0 points lower than Chester overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 20% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,649 vs $2,010.
Q3

What is the average rent in Valley View?

Average gross rent in Valley View is $1,649/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Valley View residents are renters?

40% of Valley View households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Chester). The neighborhood has 4,534 residents.
Q5

Is Valley View a high social-vulnerability area?

Valley View sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Valley View for landlords?

Valley View carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chester as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Valley View?

Valley View has 4,609 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55%), Hispanic / Latino (31.6%), Other / Multiracial (5.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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