Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
South Blooming Grove Eviction Risk: High
Tract 36071013400 · Orange County, NY · pop 3,965 · 83% of tract blocks fall in South Blooming Grove
36071013400 is a census tract in South Blooming Grove, NY. It scores 9.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,965 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,218
Renter share36.4%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate37.5%
Median income$74,194
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across South Blooming Grove and the region
Centroid at 41.3737, -74.1670 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Blooming Grove scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South Blooming Grove
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
37.5% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$1,948 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Blooming Grove
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Blooming Grove
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Blooming Grove
9.3
How South Blooming Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.3%Housing insecurity
- 15.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.7%Food insecurity
- 29.8%SNAP enrollment
- 15.1%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Blooming Grove
Against the Orange County average of 6.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.4/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.3/10.
The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.
Housing insecurity runs 22.3% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Average gross rent is $1,948, 10% below the South Blooming Grove average. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071013400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071013400?
Census tract 36071013400 in South Blooming Grove scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36071013400?
Median gross rent is $1,948/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071013400?
37.5% of residents in tract 36071013400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,965.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071013400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 56th, minority 28th, housing 60th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36071013400 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36071013400 compare to South Blooming Grove overall?
Tract 36071013400 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of South Blooming Grove at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Blooming Grove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South Blooming Grove
Top eight tracts in South Blooming Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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