Census Tract · Ranked #1,292 of 84,120 nationally

Spring Valley Eviction Risk: High

Tract 36087012203 · Rockland County, NY · pop 3,029

With a score of 7.2/10, tract 36087012203 in Spring Valley in Rockland County ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,029 residents. It lands near the 96th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,801 a month against an average household income of $68,854 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.4

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 38% Owners 23%

Tract context

Occupied units937

Renter share76.5%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate37.1%

Median income$68,854

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Spring Valley and the region

Centroid at 41.1266, -74.0614 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spring Valley scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Spring Valley

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

37.1% poverty · this tract

9.3

Supply constraint

$1,801 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Spring Valley

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Spring Valley

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Spring Valley

8.9

How Spring Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

82%Socioeconomic
25%Household composition
21%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.9%Housing insecurity
13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
25.9%Food insecurity
26.7%SNAP enrollment
14.0%Transit barriers
10.4%No health insurance
22.3%Frequent mental distress
31.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spring Valley

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Spring Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Rockland County average of 6.0 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36087012203

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36087012203?

Census tract 36087012203 in Spring Valley scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36087012203?

Median gross rent is $1,801/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36087012203?

37.1% of residents in tract 36087012203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,029.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36087012203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 25th, minority 21th, housing 60th.

What share of households in tract 36087012203 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36087012203 compare to Spring Valley overall?

Tract 36087012203 scores 8.4/10, lower than the parent city of Spring Valley at 8.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Spring Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Spring Valley

Top eight tracts in Spring Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.