Skip to content
Spring Valley, New York eviction risk overview

Spring Valley, NY Eviction Risk: VERY HIGH

Rockland County · Population 33,192

In 2026
Risk score
8.9
VERY HIGH

98th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.3 Average4.8 Now8.9
10 5 1976 · score 2.3 1977 · score 2.4 1978 · score 2.5 1979 · score 2.6 1980 · score 2.6 1981 · score 2.6 1982 · score 2.7 1983 · score 2.7 1984 · score 2.4 1985 · score 2.5 1986 · score 2.5 1987 · score 2.6 1988 · score 3.0 1989 · score 3.1 1990 · score 3.2 1991 · score 3.3 1992 · score 3.7 1993 · score 3.7 1994 · score 3.8 1995 · score 3.9 1996 · score 4.3 1997 · score 4.2 1998 · score 4.3 1999 · score 4.4 2000 · score 4.5 2001 · score 4.7 2002 · score 4.8 2003 · score 4.9 2004 · score 4.6 2005 · score 4.7 2006 · score 4.8 2007 · score 4.9 2008 · score 5.4 2009 · score 5.5 2010 · score 5.6 2011 · score 5.8 2012 · score 5.9 2013 · score 6.0 2014 · score 6.2 2015 · score 6.3 2016 · score 6.4 2017 · score 6.6 2018 · score 6.9 2019 · score 7.5 2020 · score 8.2 2021 · score 8.2 2022 · score 8.2 2023 · score 8.3 2024 · score 8.0 2025 · score 7.5 2026 · score 8.9

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.6 Regional 5.6 State 7.3 Economic 7.9 Supply 9.3 Rent Control 8.5 Eviction 7.1 Tenant 9.8 Housing 8.9 8.9 VERY HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +11.8% (2024)
    5.6
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.6
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    31.2% poverty · 4.8% unemp.
    7.9
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,695 average · 75.0% renters
    9.3
  6. Rent Control risk
    37.8% of income on rent
    8.5
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    375 days filing → judgment
    7.1
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    75.0% renters
    9.8
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    8.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Spring Valley and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Spring Valley compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Rockland County
Very High
#1 of 37 cities
Rank in county, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 37 cities in Rockland County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
Very High
#27 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 98th percentileBottomTop
#27 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Spring Valley risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Spring Valley: 8.98.9Spring ValleyThis cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg in countyState: 8.78.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 8.9
    / 10 · VERY HIGH
    The verdict

    A Very high-tier market.

    Composite 8.9/10. Among the 10% riskiest markets nationally, with heavy tenant exposure, so every notice, hearing, and lease termination needs an attorney in the loop. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+6.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 375d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,695/mo. A contested eviction takes 375 days and costs $17,315-$35,764 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 75.0%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 33,192 residents, 75.0% rent. 38% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 31.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.6 and 5.6 (GOP margin +11.8% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 7.1, housing court bias 8.9, rent-control risk 8.5. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +2.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 7.9
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 7.9. Supply constraint: 9.3. The numbers behind those: 31.2% poverty, 4.8% unemployment, 38% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Spring Valley sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.5 Yonkers New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 9.6 New Rochelle Mount Vernon, NY · 398d · ~$29.6k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.7 Mount Vernon Brentwood, NY · 378d · ~$31.4k all-in ($83/day) · score 5.9 Brentwood White Plains, NY · 384d · ~$30.7k all-in ($80/day) · score 9.5 White Plains Hempstead, NY · 418d · ~$32.6k all-in ($78/day) · score 7.5 Hempstead Levittown, NY · 387d · ~$30.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.9 Levittown Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 8.1 Buffalo Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 7.1 Rochester Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Spring Valley
Spring Valley · 375d · ~$26.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 8.9 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Spring Valley, NY

Landlording in Spring Valley, New York, presents one of the toughest environments for property owners in the nation. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.9/10 (VERY HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Among the toughest 10% of US markets where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Spring Valley is a city of 33,192 residents where 75.0% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 37.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,695/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Spring Valley eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 7.1/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Spring Valley closes 375 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Spring Valley's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 8.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Spring Valley runs $17,315 to $35,764 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 375 days of typical timeline and $1,695/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9.8/10 in Spring Valley, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (8.5/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Spring Valley: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $35,764 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Spring Valley

Trap · 31.2%
Local poverty rate is 31.2%, and the rent-burden distribution skews the eviction-filings curve toward higher volume in Rockland County. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 8.5/10. Tenant organizing is most active in the majority-renter neighborhoods.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant for any reason in Spring Valley?

No, you cannot. While New York doesn't have a statewide "just-cause" eviction law for all tenancies, you must still have a legal reason to evict, such as non-payment of rent, lease violations, or the expiration of a lease term (with proper notice). You cannot evict someone without cause during a fixed-term lease, and even for month-to-month, you need to follow notice periods.

Q2

How much notice do I need to give for non-payment of rent?

You must give a tenant in Spring Valley a 14-day pay-or-quit notice for non-payment of rent. This notice must be properly served before you can file an eviction case in court.

Q3

What if my tenant refuses to leave after the eviction order?

If a tenant refuses to leave after a court has issued a Warrant of Eviction, you cannot physically remove them yourself. You must schedule the execution of the warrant with the local sheriff or marshal. They are the only ones legally authorized to remove a tenant and restore possession of the property to you. Self-help evictions are illegal and carry severe penalties.

Q4

Is rent control a risk in Spring Valley?

Yes, the rent-control-risk sub-score for Spring Valley is 8.5/10, which is high. While Spring Valley itself may not have city-specific rent control ordinances, New York State has strong rent stabilization and rent control laws that can apply to certain buildings or be expanded. It's a constant threat that landlords need to be aware of. For more information, see our New York rent control rules guide.

Q5

Can I refuse to rent to someone who uses a housing voucher?

No. New York State has source-of-income protection laws. This means you cannot discriminate against an applicant solely because they plan to pay rent using a housing voucher (like Section 8). You must apply your same, non-discriminatory screening criteria to all applicants, regardless of their income source.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 8.9/10 places Spring Valley in the 98th percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.